Results of the opinion poll on variables in the Palestinian political field No. “22”

Ramallah - Ma'an - The International Academic Campaign Against the Israeli Occupation and Apartheid released the results of its electronic opinion poll No. (22), which was conducted during the period from July 11-14, 2024. The survey sample included a deliberate random sample of Palestinian and Arab academics, researchers and activists. This sample included 247 respondents, 52.2% from the West Bank, 27.1% from the Gaza Strip, 13% from Arab countries, and 7.7% from foreign countries. The professions of the sample respondents varied, including researchers at 30.4%, politicians and intellectuals at 26.3%, university lecturers at 22.7%, and activists and advocates at 20.6%. The study sample also included 35.6% of PhD holders, 34% of master's degree holders, and 30.4% of bachelor's degree holders. As for the division of the study sample between males and females, the sample of respondents included 77.3% males and 22.7% females. Regarding the respondents' response, the most important results can be summarized ac cording to the axes as follows: The first axis: The trends of the academic elite towards student movement in Western universities: The success of international advocacy activities in promoting the Palestinian narrative during the Israeli aggression. 41.7% of respondents expressed that the advocacy activities were very successful, 45.7% expressed that they were very successful, 4% expressed that they were neutral, 5.7% expressed that they were low, and 2.8% expressed that they were very low. A significant percentage of supporters outside Palestine are subjected to a high degree of government harassment, university harassment, or bullying by society. 15% of respondents indicated a high degree of harassment for their advocacy activities, 18.2% reported bullying by society, while more than 75% reported no harassment or bullying. This percentage is due to the high percentage of respondents from Palestine, while the majority of advocates and academics outside Palestine are exposed to some form of harassment or harassment. The increasing connection between the funding of Western universities by Zionist financiers and the hardline positions against the student movement supporting the Palestinian cause. 13.7% of the respondents expressed a very high degree of connection between the funding of Western universities by Zionist financiers and the hardline positions against the student movement supporting the Palestinian cause. 41.7% are very good. In contrast, 16.2% are neutral, 23.9% are low, and 4.9% are very low. The majority of protesting students do not care about being accused of anti-Semitism. The results indicated that the degree of correlation between the accusation of anti-Semitism against the student movement and the extent of participation from the point of view of the respondents was 54.7% in favor of it not affecting the movement, compared to 36.8% of them who believe that there is an inverse relationship, and this did not significantly affect the extent of student participation in the protests. The po licies of Western countries have changed positively in favor of the Palestinian cause as a result of the intensity of advocacy activities. 49.9% of respondents expressed that there were positive trends in the policies of Western countries in favor of the Palestinian cause as a result of the recent increase in the intensity of solidarity activities with the Palestinian people. 21.5% of them indicated that the degree of change in policies was very large, compared to 9.3% of them who were neutral, 16.2% who considered the degree of change to be small, and 3.6% to be very small. Negative attitudes towards repression of student demonstrations in American universities are increasing 78.5% of respondents indicated that the suppression of student movements constitutes a very significant violation of public freedoms, 20.2% considered it a significant violation, and 0.2% considered it neutral. Most trends confirm that student protests are not a form of anti-Semitism. 87.9% of respondents confirmed that student pro tests are not a form of anti-Semitism, compared to 7.7% who considered them to constitute anti-Semitism. The second axis: The attitudes of the academic elite towards the negotiations of the prisoner and detainee exchange deal: Low expectations for success of prisoner exchange deal 57.1% of respondents said they did not expect this deal to succeed, while 30.8% expected it to succeed. The decline of the national goals included in the exchange deal and the American amendments to it. 62.8% of respondents answered yes to the poll question: If the American initiative was concluded with its amendments to the exchange deal, do you think that the Palestinian factions that implemented October 7 succeeded in achieving the goals and interests of the Palestinian people? While 27.9% answered no to this question. The third axis: The trends of the academic elite towards the day after the aggression: Expectations rise that Israel will not withdraw from the Gaza Strip 75.3% of respondents indicated that they do not exp ect Israel to withdraw from the entire Gaza Strip even if a swap deal is concluded, while 17% of them indicated that they expect it to withdraw. Multiple and different expectations regarding the day after the aggression. 30.8% of the respondents expected the Palestinian National Authority to take over the administration and rule of the Gaza Strip on the day following the aggression, followed by 29.6% of the trends that expected a consensus factional authority to take over, followed by 17.8% of the expectations in favor of international forces, then 14.2% in favor of Hamas rule. Declining trends towards expecting general elections in Palestine the day after the aggression. 82.6% expressed the impossibility of holding elections in the short term, compared to 10.9% who expressed the possibility of holding these elections. Expectations of Fatah movement winning in case of general elections are rising 56.3% of the respondents expected Fatah to win if general elections were held, compared to 30% in favor of H amas, the Popular Front 2%, the Struggle Front 1.6%, and the Democratic Front 1%. The level of satisfaction and demand for the continuation of legal and diplomatic action by the Palestinian Authority against Israel has increased. 95.1% expressed a high degree of satisfaction and demanded the continuation of the Palestinian Authority's legal and diplomatic efforts against Israel, compared to 4% who objected to this role. Rising support for popular resistance versus armed resistance 50.2% indicated that popular resistance is the most appropriate form of resistance to the occupation, compared to 25.1% for armed resistance and 9.3% for civil disobedience. The encroachment of the Zionist colonial project 30% of the respondents indicated that the Zionist project aims to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state, 11.3% to undermine the Palestinian Authority, 3.2% to create an apartheid system, and 2.4% to replace the Palestinian Authority with another authority. 50.6% answered with all of these goals. Low expectations for the ability of Dr. Mohamed Mustafa's government to achieve the requirements of the letter of assignment 29.1% of the respondents indicated that they expected a lower degree of ability for Dr. Mohamed Mustafa's government to achieve the objectives of the assignment speech, 23.5% a very low degree, 25.9% a neutral degree, compared to 14.2% a high degree, and 7.3% a very high degree. Source: Maan News Agency